Weekly Thursday game.
Early in the evening played a hand, poorly. Late position forcing the action with QJ suited, raised to 12. The table had been tight. Two callers including the villain, a 300lb guy we’ll call a penguin. Penguin calls. He supposedly is a millionaire in real life so money has zero value to him, and you can tell he prides himself on being a good player and prowing on people’s weaknesses.
Flop, nada, just 9 high. Check, check. Turn, a Q. Check, I bet 30. He calls. River, he checks the 2, and I bet out a value bet of 45. He instacalls and I turn over confidently my QJ. He flips AQ. I should have figured he was calling with something on the turn. Suppose my bad.
I wound up having a poor session dropping two buy ins. Card dead a little, but had at least three of my bluffs called down. I’m thinking perhaps I may be bluffing a little much. Something to consider.
The river bet is only a value bet if your image is very lagro (I’d have been called by any pocket pair and any 9) or if your opponent is the type that just has to look people up.
The bet isn’t a total loss however, it gained us a lot of info. It shows that he’ll check strong but probably not monster hands on the river on innocent looking boards. It also shows that he will probably never employ a defensive bet. This was a great spot for one. He let you set the price of the river.
If he were to ever call a flop, then lead a turn or river into me, I’d put him on air or a monster.
If he instantly called, it shows he’s probably never laying such a hand down – ever. You can value-town this guy to the bank when you have an obviously best hand.
It also shows he’s doing at least some thinking about what you might have. Someone worth marking down for “what does he think I have” in future hands.